Overview

Global bank universe · 52 institutions · US & Europe

Macro EnvironmentHIGHLY UNFAVORABLE-10 / 20

-4 pts applied to all bank scores · banks with high leveraged loan exposure receive additional penalty

The current SRT environment is being driven by increased geopolitical uncertainty, particularly due to the conflict in Iran and rising tensions in the Middle East.

Signal date: Apr 3, 2026

cre mediumsme mediumconsumer mediumleveraged loans high

Key signals (5)

1.CNA: Trump's fresh Iran threats give investors a risk-off reality check - indicates increased geopolitical uncertainty and risk-off sentiment

2.The Times of India: Prolonged conflict could push crude to extreme levels: Paul Meeks - suggests potential for higher crude prices and market volatility

3.Globalsecurity.org: IEA chief says current energy crisis worse than past oil shocks - implies a challenging energy market environment

4.Globalsecurity.org: Middle East war: UN's Türk decries 'severe restrictions' on free speech - indicates rising geopolitical tensions

5.The Irish Times: Oil jumps, stock rally fades on Trump's war threat - shows how geopolitical events can impact market sentiment

Banks Monitored

US & European institutions

High Priority

Score ≥ 70 · 2 medium

Avg SRT Score

52 of 52 scored

Avg CET1 Ratio

14.2%

Tier 1 capital / RWA proxy

SRT Candidates

10 banks — sorted by srt likelihood score

#	Bank	Quarter	SRT Score	CET1 %	CET1 Trend	Loan Growth YoY	RWA Growth QoQ	Top Exposure
1	Huntington Bancshares HBAN	2025-Q4	45MED	11.7%	→	+15.6%	+10.8%	CRE40.2%
2	Western Alliance Bancorporation WAL	2025-Q4	45MED	11.8%	0.53	+10.6%	+6.5%	CRE55.1%
3	Raiffeisen Bank International RBIEU	2024-Q4	34LOW	13.1%	—	+5.5%	+1.7%	SME36.0%
4	Erste Group Bank EBSEU	2024-Q4	34LOW	13.8%	—	+5.2%	+1.3%	SME38.0%
5	M&T Bank MTB	2025-Q4	33LOW	12.1%	0.12	+2.4%	+1.4%	CRE46.5%
6	East West Bancorp EWBC	2025-Q4	31LOW	13.9%	→	+5.8%	+1.1%	CRE69.4%
7	KeyCorp KEY	2025-Q4	31LOW	12.8%	0.08	+2.4%	+1.3%	CRE39.4%
8	Synchrony Financial SYF	2025-Q4	30LOW	13.7%	0.62	-0.1%	+3.0%	Consumer109.2%
9	Citizens Financial CFG	2025-Q4	28LOW	12.3%	0.14	+2.9%	+1.7%	CRE58.1%
10	ABN AMRO ABNEU	2024-Q4	28LOW	13.7%	—	+3.0%	+1.2%	CRE30.0%

Showing 10 of 52 banksView all banks →

Score Distribution

52 scored banks

Low <40

Med 40–79

High 80+

Latest Deals

View all →

Klarna

2d ago

Consumer Loans

$1.7BSweden

NatWest Group

0mo ago

CRE

$500MUnited Kingdom

Investor: Cheyne Capital

Erste Group

1mo ago

SME / Corporate

$300MAustria

HSBC

2mo ago

Corporate Loans

$2.0BUnited Kingdom

Investor: Blackstone Credit

ABN AMRO

3mo ago

Mortgages

$600MNetherlands

Investor: Pension funds consortium

Banco BPM

5mo ago

SME / Corporate

$450MItaly

UniCredit

5mo ago

CRE

$700MItaly

Investor: PGIM

Société Générale

6mo ago

Corporate Loans

$900MFrance

Investor: HPS Investment Partners

Raiffeisen Bank International

8mo ago

SME / Corporate

$350MAustria

Deutsche Bank

9mo ago

Leveraged Loans

$1.5BGermany

Investor: Apollo Global Management

ING Group

10mo ago

Trade Finance

$400MNetherlands

Investor: Tikehau Capital

BBVA

11mo ago

Consumer Loans

$600MSpain

Investor: BlackRock

Intesa Sanpaolo

13mo ago

Other

$800MItaly

BNP Paribas

13mo ago

Corporate Loans

$1.2BFrance

Investor: Ares Management

Santander

14mo ago

SME / Corporate

$500MSpain

Crédit Agricole

18mo ago

Consumer Loans

$310MFrance

Wells Fargo

18mo ago

CRE

$500MUnited States

Investor: Blackstone Real Estate

Lloyds Banking Group

20mo ago

Mortgages

$710MUnited Kingdom

Investor: Pension funds consortium

Banco BPM

21mo ago

SME / Corporate

$280MItaly

Investor: Tikehau Capital

UniCredit

22mo ago

SME / Corporate

$370MItaly

Investor: BlackRock

20 deals in database